Tuesday, October 24, 2006
Anchoring the War in Iraq
Nearly three decades ago, two psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahnerman discovered a human phenomenon known as 'anchoring'. This occurs when you don't know the answer to something, whatever the starting point is plays a strong role in determining what you think the right answer is.
The initial number of casualties given for the Iraq war was about 30,000 - 50,000. A new study conducted by a respected Johns Hopkins peer reviewed journal finds the number of casualities to be about 650,000. Many critics dispute this as an accurate number. Source: Washington Post, Oct. 23, 2006 p. AO2
QUESTION: Do you think the initial number of 30,000-50,000 was a deliberate attempt by the media to use as an anchor so that subsequent reports of higher numbers would be difficult for the public to believe?
The initial number of casualties given for the Iraq war was about 30,000 - 50,000. A new study conducted by a respected Johns Hopkins peer reviewed journal finds the number of casualities to be about 650,000. Many critics dispute this as an accurate number. Source: Washington Post, Oct. 23, 2006 p. AO2
QUESTION: Do you think the initial number of 30,000-50,000 was a deliberate attempt by the media to use as an anchor so that subsequent reports of higher numbers would be difficult for the public to believe?
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I was called to the first desert storm and that same number was given to us during indoctornation..I was a Navy Medical Corpsman.... when the real or reality turned out to be far less than was thought to be I remember feeling relieved..I think back now and realize that your insight is correct. You know the old I have bad news and good news routine or bait and switch Sagehealer
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