Tuesday, October 24, 2006

 

Anchoring the War in Iraq

Nearly three decades ago, two psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahnerman discovered a human phenomenon known as 'anchoring'. This occurs when you don't know the answer to something, whatever the starting point is plays a strong role in determining what you think the right answer is.

The initial number of casualties given for the Iraq war was about 30,000 - 50,000. A new study conducted by a respected Johns Hopkins peer reviewed journal finds the number of casualities to be about 650,000. Many critics dispute this as an accurate number. Source: Washington Post, Oct. 23, 2006 p. AO2

QUESTION: Do you think the initial number of 30,000-50,000 was a deliberate attempt by the media to use as an anchor so that subsequent reports of higher numbers would be difficult for the public to believe?

Comments:
I was called to the first desert storm and that same number was given to us during indoctornation..I was a Navy Medical Corpsman.... when the real or reality turned out to be far less than was thought to be I remember feeling relieved..I think back now and realize that your insight is correct. You know the old I have bad news and good news routine or bait and switch Sagehealer
 
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